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February 16, 2026Cross-Border
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UK: Weekly FX Market Update 16 February

Corpay

GBP

  • Weak UK GDP resulted in a soft GBPEUR, however, GBPUSD appears resilient

  • Will Citibank be right? Could the Pound be most “vulnerable” before the May by-elections?

  • UK CPI could be the biggest factor this week, released on Wednesday.

EUR

  • The Euro appears supported against the US Dollar but can’t make any great headway.

  • Could positive news about a possible peace agreement in the Ukraine/Russia war help?

  • Flash PMI data is released on Friday. Will it show an as expected expansion for the Eurozone?

USD

  • A strong Non-Farm Payrolls report failed to produce lasting USD strength.

  • In contrast a weak US CPI release weighed on the dollar. Is that a giveaway that investors are negative towards the USD?

  • Will advance GDP, due for release on Friday, show a booming US economy?


Mon Feb 16

All Day

China Bank Holiday

US Bank Holiday

Tue Feb 17

07:00 GBP Employment Report

10:00 EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment

13:30 CAD CPI

19:30 USD FOMC Daly Speaks

Wed Feb 18

07:00 GBP CPI

13:30 USD Durable Goods

14:15 USD Industrial Production

19:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes

Thu Feb 19

00:30 AUD Employment Data

13:30 USD Unemployment Claims/Goods Trade Balance

15:00 EUR Consumer Confidence

15:30 USD FOMC Goolsbee Speaks

Fri Feb 20

07:00 GBP Retail Sales/Public Sector Net Borrowing

08:30 EUR German Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI

09:30 GBP Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI

13:30 CAD Retail Sales

13:30 USD Advance GDP

14:45 USD Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI

About the author

Trevor Charsley

Trevor Charsley

Senior Market Strategist

Trevor has over 25 years' trading and sales experience. He produces regular market and technical analysis as well as help with the structure and management of FX hedging policies. Trevor is often listed among the top "currency forecaster on Bloomberg".