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June 10, 2026
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Market Wire: US inflation meets expectations, softening the dollar's Iran-driven advance

Annual headline inflation hit a three-year high in the United States last month, but decelerated slightly on a monthly basis while a measure of underlying price pressures eased—averting a widely feared intensification and reinforcing the case for the Federal Reserve to hold rates steady.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ consumer price index rose 0.5% in May, slowing from April's 0.6% gain. On a year-over-year basis, prices climbed 4.2%, up from 3.8%, as rising energy costs from the Iran conflict continued to feed through. The reading matched the consensus forecast.

Core inflation—more important from a monetary-policy standpoint—remained more restrained, as softening shelter costs and a pullback in discretionary spending among households squeezed by the oil-price shock continued to offset broader pressures. Stripping out food and energy, prices rose 0.2% on the month, easing from March's 0.4% pace. The year-over-year rate edged up to 2.9%, from 2.8% previously.

Treasury yields are edging lower at the policy-sensitive front end of the curve and the dollar is reversing last night's gains against its major counterparts as traders trim bets on a Fed rate hike before year-end.

The release comes as equity indices extend their losses and oil prices rebound following another outbreak of hostilities between the United States and Iran. Technology stocks have hit a patch of turbulence as investors grow wary of soaring valuations and worry that a wave of capital-raising could strain public markets. The US, meanwhile, carried out strikes against Iranian military targets after President Trump said Iran had downed an Apache helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz; Tehran's Revolutionary Guards said they retaliated with missile and drone attacks on American facilities in Bahrain, Jordan and Kuwait. Global crude benchmarks climbed around 2% this morning after Trump posted on his social media platform: “They've taken too long to negotiate a deal that would have been great for them, now they will have to pay the price!!!”

About the author

Karl Schamotta

Karl Schamotta

Chief Market Strategist

Gain insights into developments in global currency markets.bar graphSubscribe