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The Trend Really is Your Friend (Sort Of)

Why can the ‘trend can be your friend’, as well as your absolute nightmare? There are a few reasons why momentum tends to persist across time and asset classes, why it can lead to outperformance, and crucially, how its downsides can reinforce these facts.

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By Cross-Border
Apr 25, 2025
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Polling Insights: Canadian Businesses Stay Flexible Amid Market Shifts
Cross-BorderGlobal paymentsRisk management

Polling Insights: Canadian Businesses Stay Flexible Amid Market Shifts

In this round-up of polling data from GPS Capital Markets’ LinkedIn audience and research from experts at GPS and Corpay, we look at mixed signals about North American markets and what businesses can expect in Q1.

Bloomberg: Markets Look to Extend Dollar’s Gains as Trump Carries Through Threat to Start Trade War

Bloomberg: Markets Look to Extend Dollar’s Gains as Trump Carries Through Threat to Start Trade War

“We expect selling pressure to hit the peso and Canadian dollar at tomorrow’s Asia open, but it’s difficult to assess just how severe the move will be,” said Karl Schamotta,

Bloomberg: Tariff War Likely to Put Canada Into Recession, Economists Say

Bloomberg: Tariff War Likely to Put Canada Into Recession, Economists Say

The loonie and peso are vulnerable to drops exceeding 2% to 3% after trading begins in Asia Sunday evening Toronto time, said Chief Market Strategist Karl Schamotta.

Globe and Mail: The ‘extreme’ gap in Canadian and U.S. interest rates

Globe and Mail: The ‘extreme’ gap in Canadian and U.S. interest rates

“Interest rate developments are unlikely to provide a sufficient offset to the economic hit that could be delivered by a tariff announcement this Saturday

CNN: Your complete guide to tariffs: How much you’ll pay, and when

CNN: Your complete guide to tariffs: How much you’ll pay, and when

Trump’s proposed tariffs could add $272 billion a year to tax burdens, according to Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay Cross-Border Solutions.

Al Jazeera: As Trump’s tariff threat looms, what would a US-Canada ‘trade war’ mean?

Al Jazeera: As Trump’s tariff threat looms, what would a US-Canada ‘trade war’ mean?

Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay, a US-based business payments and management company, said in a market brief from late November that, given what is traded between the US and Canada, Trump’s plan “looks like an own goal”.

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