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September 15, 2025Cross-Border
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UK: Weekly FX Market Update 15 September

GBP

  • GBPUSD stayed supported last week, even after the UK’s monthly GDP for July flatlined.

  • The UK Employment data will be released on Tuesday, followed by the UK CPI on Wednesday.

  • Will the latest data show a stagnating economy, placing the Bank of England in a bind for its Thursday interest rate decision?

EUR

  • The ECB stated that interest rate cuts are off the table, which the markets largely agreed with.

  • Just two days after the announcement of France's new Prime Minister, their fifth in two years, Fitch downgraded the French credit rating to its lowest on record, citing political instability and rising debt.

  • Will ZEW economic sentiment confirm the ECB’s positive comments on the Eurozone economy? Or could we see a weaker Euro from potentially higher treasury yields?

USD

  • The USD fluctuated back and forth last week.

  • Will the Appellate court allow the POTUS to push Fed governor Cook out of her post? A decision has been requested by today, Monday, 15th.

  • Eyes will then turn to the FOMC on Wednesday. Will the Fed cut rates by 0.25% with a dovish statement? Could we see a 0.50% cut? Is there more USD weakness around the corner?


Main events for this week:

Mon Sep 15

All Day JPY Bank Holiday

13:30 USD Empire State Manu Index

Tue Sep 16

07:00 GBP Average Earnings/Claimant Count Change/Unemployment Rate

10:00 EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment

13:30 USD Retail Sales

Wed Sep 17

07:00 GBP CPI

08:30 EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks

10:00 EUR Final CPI

19:00 USD FOMC Int Rate Decision

19:30 USD Fed Chair Powell Press Conference

Thu Sep 18

02:30 AUD Employment Data

09:00 EUR Current Account

12:00 GBP BoE Int Rate Decision

13:30 USD Unemployment Claims

Fri Sep 19

05:00 JPY BoJ Int Rate Decision/Statement

05:30 JPY BoJ Press Conference

07:00 GBP Retail Sales

About the author

Trevor Charsley

Trevor Charsley

Senior Market Strategist

Trevor has over 25 years' trading and sales experience. He produces regular market and technical analysis as well as help with the structure and management of FX hedging policies. Trevor is often listed among the top "currency forecaster on Bloomberg".