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August 11, 2025Cross-Border
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UK: Weekly FX Market Update 11 August

GBP

  • Last Thursday, the Bank of England increased its inflation forecast to 4% while narrowly voting to cut rates by 0.25% - a 'hawkish cut'.

  • As a result, the Pound strengthened due to the bullish sentiment. Will this strength continue when UK employment data is released on Tuesday and GDP on Thursday?

EUR
  • As German data disappointed, the Pound took advantage against the Euro.

  • Will the Eurozone's economic sentiment on Tuesday and GDP on Thursday strengthen the Euro?

USD
  • Tariffs are seemingly everywhere, with change appearing to be the only constant in the US.

  • Will Tuesday’s inflation reading, and Friday’s retail sales show the effects of the tariffs and lead to a weaker Dollar?

  • What will Friday’s meeting between Trump and Putin produce?


Main events for this week:

Mon Aug 11

No Top Tier Data

Tue Aug 12

05:30 AUD RBA Interest Rate Decision

06:30 AUD RBA Press Conference

07:00 GBP Average Earnings/Unemployment Rate/Claimant Count Change

10:00 EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment

13:30 USD CPI

15:00 USD FOMC Barkin Speaks

Wed Aug 13

02:30 AUD Wage Price Index

18:00 USD FOMC Goolsbee Speaks

Thu Aug 14

02:30 AUD Employment Data

07:00 GBP GDP/Goods Trade Balance/Industrial Production/Manufacturing Production

10;00 EUR Flash GDP

13:30 USD Producer price Index

19:00 USD FOMC Barkin Speaks

Fri Aug 15

All Day Trump & Putin meet

13:30 USD Retail Sales

14:15 USD Industrial production/Capacity Utilization Rate

15:00 USD Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

15:00 USD Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

About the author

Trevor Charsley

Trevor Charsley

Senior Market Strategist

Trevor has over 25 years' trading and sales experience. He produces regular market and technical analysis as well as help with the structure and management of FX hedging policies. Trevor is often listed among the top "currency forecaster on Bloomberg".