UK: Weekly FX Market Update 11 April
GBP
GBPUSD hit a new high last seen in June 2022 prior to an Easter affected trading week. Can the pound build on last week’s gains?
Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks twice on Wednesday.
UK GDP & Industrial Production are released on Thursday – is the UK economy really ready to support a ‘safe-haven’ status for the pound?
EUR
Eurozone Retail Sales are released on Tuesday.
Will they point to a continuing hawkish path for the ECB?
Can the euro be a beneficiary of US dollar weakness? Can EURUSD make another run at 1.1000?
USD
Last weeks US jobs data pointed to scope for more rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
Februarys NFP number was upgraded and March’s beat expectations - the unemployment rate also unexpectedly fell to 3.5% - bullish news for the US.
US CPI is released on Wednesday, followed by the FOMC minutes from the last rate decision – can this create USD strength?
Will US Retail Sales bounce back on Friday, with the US shopper showing resilience in the face of persistent inflation, or will the ‘high street’ show it is suffering under rising prices?
Events for the week ahead:
Tue Apr 11
10:00 EUR Retail Sales
13:30 Onwards. Various FOMC Speakers
Wed Apr 12
13:30 USD CPI
14:00 GBP BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
15:00 CAD Bank of Canada Interest Rate Decision
16:00 CAD Bank of Canada Press Conference
19:00 USD FOMC Meeting Minutes
20:15 GBP BoE Gov Bailey Speaks
Thu Apr 13
02:30 AUD Employment Data
07:00 GBP GDP/Industrial Production/Manufacturing Production/Goods Trade Balance
13:30 USD Producer Price Index
14:00 CAD BoC Gov Macklem Speaks
Fri Apr 14
13:30 USD Retail Sales
14:15 USD Industrial Production
15:00 USD Preliminary Consumer Sentiment