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Market Wire: US Consumer Spending and Inflation Measures Decelerate On Dropping Gas Prices, Dollar Ticks Lower

CalendarAugust 26, 2022
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American households slowed spending last month as falling gasoline prices helped offset an increase in services outlays - and the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure rose by less than expected. Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning showed inflation-adjusted household outlays climbing 0.2 percent in July - roughly corresponding with a previously-reported flatlining in retail sales. A $33.3 billion increase in spending on services was partly offset by a $9.6 billion drop in spending on goods, with energy costs dragging the number down. 

In unadjusted terms, personal income rose 0.2 percent month-over-month, led by a solid 0.8 percent increase in private-sector wages and salaries. 

The core personal consumption expenditures index - the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure - rose 0.1 percent from June, up 4.6 percent year over year -  softer than consensus estimates which were set at 0.2 percent and 4.7 percent, respectively. 

Yields dropped after the release, and the greenback slipped as the case for a 75 basis-point move at the Federal Reserve’s September meeting grew weaker - but this response could fade quickly, with Chair Jerome Powell set to address the world from Jackson Hole in less than an hour and a half. 

Author

Karl Schamotta

Karl Schamotta

Chief Market Strategist

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