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Known Unknowns

For American multinationals, the world has rarely felt more uncertain. Since Donald Trump returned to office, trade policy has been dictated more by fiat than institutional process.

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By Cross-Border
May 9, 2025
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Investment Executive: Mark Carney elected PM in too-close-to-call result; Poilievre and Singh both lose seats

Investment Executive: Mark Carney elected PM in too-close-to-call result; Poilievre and Singh both lose seats

“Mark Carney has achieved something remarkable — one of the biggest turnarounds in modern political history — but without a majority, he could struggle to put Canada’s economy on a more stable footing,” said Karl Schamotta

Reuters: Loonie strengthens as Canadians head to the polls

Reuters: Loonie strengthens as Canadians head to the polls

"Foreign exchange markets look remarkably unworried," Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist at Corpay said in a note, pointing to the recent decline in USD-CAD risk reversals, or the cost of insuring against a big downside move in the Canadian dollar.”

Financial Post: Canadian dollar could fall if minority federal government is elected, strategist says

Financial Post: Canadian dollar could fall if minority federal government is elected, strategist says

“The risk of a minority government — which might force the victor to seek an alliance with the nominally separatist Bloc Québécois and generally complicate the business of government

BNN Bloomberg: What are the odds of a recession in 2025?

BNN Bloomberg: What are the odds of a recession in 2025?

Corpay Cross Border chief market strategist Karl Schamotta joined BNN Bloomberg this morning to discuss the trade war, the economy, and monetary policy expectations.

The Trend Really is Your Friend (Sort Of)
Cross-BorderGlobal paymentsRisk management

The Trend Really is Your Friend (Sort Of)

Why can the ‘trend can be your friend’, as well as your absolute nightmare? There are a few reasons why momentum tends to persist across time and asset classes, why it can lead to outperformance, and crucially, how its downsides can reinforce these facts.

MarketWatch: Stocks, Treasurys, dollar tumble in unison on 'increasingly forbidding' growth backdrop

MarketWatch: Stocks, Treasurys, dollar tumble in unison on 'increasingly forbidding' growth backdrop

"Firing an active Fed chair could unleash consequences that make recent market turmoil look tame," Karl Schamotta wrote in a note.

Smarter payments. Stronger growth. Keep business moving.

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